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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
05.04.2026 15:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Eintracht Frankfurt - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football
Stadium Doyche bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2
Finished
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Eintracht Frankfurt — 46%

1 · Eintracht Frankfurt46.1%
X · draw25.2%
2 · 1. FC Köln28.7%

Model estimate: win Eintracht Frankfurt 46.1%, draw 25.2%, win 1. FC Köln 28.7%. Model favourite — Eintracht Frankfurt.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Frankfurt - 1. FC Köln April 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eintracht Frankfurt.

Strongest: Eintracht Frankfurt - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / X 3.63 / 2 3.75
  • 1X2 market: Eintracht Frankfurt 48.6% / X 26.2% / 1. FC Köln 25.3%
  • Glicko: Eintracht Frankfurt 46.1% / X 25.2% / 1. FC Köln 28.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 38.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 48.6%
X 26.1%
2 25.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 55.3%
Under 2.5 44.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 47.0%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2026 15:30 UTC
Stadium Doyche bank Park (Frankfurt-na-Mayne)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Eintracht Frankfurt 46%
💹 Market Eintracht Frankfurt 4855%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Eintracht Frankfurt - 1. FC Köln

Eintracht Frankfurt: Win 1.95 Eintracht Frankfurt: Draw 3.60 1. FC Köln Win: 3.80 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.67 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.20 Individualnyy total golov Eintracht Frankfurt bolshe 1.5: 1.83 Individualnyy total golov Eintracht Frankfurt menshe 1.…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 17
Statistics 24
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
22' 22' Yellow Card | Ansgar Knauff Eintracht Frankfurt
55' 55' Substitution 1 | Oscar Højlund | assist/sub out: Farès Chaïbi Eintracht Frankfurt
56' 56' Substitution 2 | Ansgar Knauff | assist/sub out: Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab Eintracht Frankfurt
66' 66' Normal Goal | Jonathan Burkardt | assist/sub out: Farès Chaïbi Eintracht Frankfurt
67' 67' Substitution 3 | Ritsu Doan | assist/sub out: Mario Götze Daniel Gleiber Eintracht Frankfurt
67' 67' Substitution 1 | Denis Huseinbašić | assist/sub out: Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 1. FC Köln
69' 69' Normal Goal | Arnaud Kalimuendo Eintracht Frankfurt
70' 70' Normal Goal | Jakub Kamiński 1. FC Köln
Metric Eintracht Frankfurt 1. FC Köln SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2.58 3.23 final
Zablokirovannye udary 5 3 final
Shots off target 8 2 final
Shots on target 7 9 final
Udary vsego 20 14 final
Fouls soversheno 10 7 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 2 final
Offsides 0 4 final
Eintracht Frankfurt #3 Arthur Theate, #4 R. Koch, #5 A. Amenda, #6 O. Hojlund, #7 A. Knauff, #9 J. Burkardt, #16 H. Larsson, #20 Ritsu Doan, #21 Nathaniel Brown, #23 M. Zetterer, #25 A. Kalimuendo
1. FC Köln #1 M. Schwabe, #5 T. Krauss, #8 D. Huseinbasic, #9 R. Ache, #13 S. El Mala, #16 J. Kaminski, #28 S. Sebulonsen, #29 J. Thielmann, #32 K. Lund, #33 R. van den Berg, #39 C. Ozkacar
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Dribling popytki 2
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Dribling uspeshno 4
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Edinoborstva vyigrano 6
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Fouls soversheno 1
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Fouls na igroke 1
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Seyvy 0
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 38
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Klyuchevye pasy 11
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Pasy vsego 1
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Reyting (staryy) 6.5
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Eintracht Frankfurt 47.6% 46.1% market and model agree
Draw 26.4% 25.2% draw risk
1. FC Köln 26.1% 28.7%
xG - 1.55 : 1.17
Total 2.5 Over 38.6% - Under 61.4%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.1% / 25.2% / 28.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,524 / 1,426 Eintracht Frankfurt / 1. FC Köln
RD 77 / 77 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.75 market consensus · no value · model 28.7%
X 3.63 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.95 market consensus · no value · model 46.1%
Double chance
X2 1.84 market consensus · no value · model 53.9%
12 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 74.8%
1X 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 71.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.55 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · no value · model 38.6%
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · value +30.8% · model 61.4%
Both teams to score
No 2.23 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.76 26.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0%
3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.94 25.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.19 45.7%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% — 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 — — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 — — 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% — 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.75 — — 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8% — —
Over 2.75 — 1.94 51.6% —
Over 3.5 2.75 36.4% — —
Over 4.5 5.00 20.0% — —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% — —
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8% — —
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6% — —
Under 2.75 — 1.96 51.0% —
Under 3.5 1.44 69.4% — —
Under 4.5 1.17 85.5% — —
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
Founded 1899
1. FC Köln
Founded 1948
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
RK R. Kristensen Ankle Injury
NC N. Collins Ankle Injury
1. FC Köln
JS J. Schmied Muscle Injury
TH T. Hübers Knee Injury
Eintracht Frankfurt Founded: 1899
1. FC Köln Founded: 1948
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
L W D W L
22.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 MayntsMaynts
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
08.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
01.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 FrayburgFrayburg
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:3 BavariyaBavariya
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
1. FC Köln
D D L L D
21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 3:3 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
14.03 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
07.03 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
27.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 0:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 2:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEintracht Frankfurt - 1. FC Köln

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 matches total
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
1. FC Köln: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Eintracht Frankfurt 4:3 (22.11 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (4:3, 22.11 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 4

Match history

22.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
4:3
1. FC Köln
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.