Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
06.10.2024 15:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern München

Germany Futbol
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 3
Finished
Bayern München
Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern München 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.82 / X 4.87 / 2 1.53
  • 1X2 market: Eintracht Frankfurt 16.7% / X 19.9% / Bayern München 63.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 16.7%
X 19.9%
2 63.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 68.9%
Under 2.5 31.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.10.2024 15:30 UTC
Match center

Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern München

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.53 market consensus · line only
X 4.87 market consensus · line only
1 5.82 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.66 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.82 17.2%
Х 4.87 20.5%
П2 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.66 37.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.40 71.4%
ТМ 2.5 3.10 32.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.66 21.5%
П2 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
W W W
29.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 4:2 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
21.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Bayern München
D W W W
28.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 5:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
14.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 6:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
01.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 2:0 FrayburgFrayburg
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points