Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
04.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern München

Germany Futbol
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 : 3
Finished
Bayern München
Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern München 4 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.83 / X 5.61 / 2 1.38
  • 1X2 market: Eintracht Frankfurt 14.0% / X 17.0% / Bayern München 69.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 75.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 14.0%
X 17.0%
2 69.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 75.8%
Under 2.5 24.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.38 market consensus · line only
X 5.61 market consensus · line only
1 6.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 3.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 7.37 13.6%
Х 5.58 17.9%
П2 1.39 71.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 7.15 14.0% 6.00 16.7% 7.50 13.3% 6.70 14.9%
Х 5.50 18.2% 5.90 17.0% 6.02 16.6% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.90 17.0%
П2 1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.75 36.4% 2.74 36.5% 2.81 35.6% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.67 37.5% 2.80 35.7% 2.76 36.2% 2.89 34.6%
yes 1.40 71.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 2.95 33.9% 3.16 31.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.16 31.7%
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
W L L W W
27.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 6:4 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 3:4 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
12.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 3:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 4:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
3.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
9 Points
Bayern München
W W W W W
26.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 4:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 4:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
13.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 5:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
30.08 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
22.08 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 6:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEintracht Frankfurt - Bayern München

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 matches total
Bayern München
Eintracht Frankfurt: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Bayern München: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 06.10 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (06.10 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

06.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
3:3
Bavariya