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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
09.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Football
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 3
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund January 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.41 / X 3.70 / 2 2.06
  • 1X2 market: Eintracht Frankfurt 27.9% / X 25.8% / Borussia Dortmund 46.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 28.0%
X 25.8%
2 46.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 59.1%
Under 2.5 40.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.06 market consensus · line only
X 3.70 market consensus · line only
1 3.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.79 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.44 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.50 28.6%
X 3.81 26.3%
2.08 48.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.58 27.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.84 26.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3%
2.02 49.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.50 40.0% 2.59 38.6% 2.42 41.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.39 41.8% 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.81 55.3%
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
D W L D W
20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
06.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 0:6 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
30.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
22.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 4:3 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
8 Points
Borussia Dortmund
W D W W D
19.12 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
14.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:1 FrayburgFrayburg
07.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
29.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 3:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
11 Points