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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
02.05.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
02.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV

Germany Football
Stadium Doyche bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 2
Finished
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Eintracht Frankfurt — 54%

1 · Eintracht Frankfurt54.3%
X · draw23.2%
2 · Hamburger SV22.5%

Model estimate: win Eintracht Frankfurt 54.3%, draw 23.2%, win Hamburger SV 22.5%. Model favourite — Eintracht Frankfurt.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV May 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eintracht Frankfurt.

Strongest: Eintracht Frankfurt - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 4.05 / 2 4.12
  • 1X2 market: Eintracht Frankfurt 53.5% / X 23.5% / Hamburger SV 23.1%
  • Glicko: Eintracht Frankfurt 54.3% / X 23.2% / Hamburger SV 22.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 83.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 53.6%
X 23.4%
2 23.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 62.7%
Under 2.5 37.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 55.6%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 02.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Stadium Doyche bank Park (Frankfurt-na-Mayne)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Eintracht Frankfurt 54%
💹 Market Eintracht Frankfurt 5349%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Eintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV

Eintracht Frankfurt: Win 1.73 Eintracht Frankfurt: Draw 4.10 Hamburger SV Win: 4.33 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.30 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.62 Individualnyy total golov Eintracht Frankfurt bolshe 1.5: 1.57 Individualnyy total golov Eintracht Frankfurt menshe …

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 21
Statistics 26
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
48' 48' Normal Goal | C. Uzun | assist/sub out: J. Burkardt C. Uzun Eintracht Frankfurt
51' 51' Normal Goal | A. Grønbæk | assist/sub out: W. Omari A. Grønbæk Hamburger SV
52' 52' Yellow Card | O. Højlund O. Hojlund Eintracht Frankfurt
59' 59' Normal Goal | Fábio Vieira | assist/sub out: A. Grønbæk Fábio Vieira Hamburger SV
61' 61' Substitution 1 | O. Højlund | assist/sub out: F. Chaïbi O. Hojlund Eintracht Frankfurt
61' 61' Substitution 2 | E. Skhiri | assist/sub out: R. Kristensen Ellyes Skhiri Eintracht Frankfurt
61' 61' Substitution 3 | J. Burkardt | assist/sub out: J. Bahoya J. Burkardt Eintracht Frankfurt
68' 68' Substitution 1 | B. Jatta | assist/sub out: G. Gocholeishvili B. Jatta Hamburger SV
Metric Eintracht Frankfurt Hamburger SV SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.65 0.62 final
Zablokirovannye udary 2 2 final
Shots off target 1 3 final
Shots on target 5 4 final
Udary vsego 8 9 final
Fouls soversheno 13 5 final
Red cards 1 0 final
Zheltye kartochki 6 1 final
Eintracht Frankfurt #9 J. Burkardt, #21 Nathaniel Brown, #23 M. Zetterer, #25 A. Kalimuendo, #4 R. Koch, #6 O. Hojlund, #15 Ellyes Skhiri, #16 H. Larsson, #5 A. Amenda, #42 C. Uzun, #7 A. Knauff
Hamburger SV #1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes, #11 R. Königsdörffer, #17 W. Omari, #23 A. Grønbæk, #6 A. Sambi Lokonga, #9 R. Glatzel, #25 J. Torunarigha, #20 Fábio Vieira, #21 N. Remberg, #24 N. Capaldo, #18 B. Jatta
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Dribling popytki 1
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Edinoborstva vyigrano 2
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Seyvy 0
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 20
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Klyuchevye pasy 5
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Reyting (staryy) 6.7
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Bloki 1
A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt Otbory vsego 4
A. Amenda Eintracht Frankfurt Dribling popytki 5
A. Amenda Eintracht Frankfurt Edinoborstva vsego 1
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Eintracht Frankfurt 56.6% 54.3% market and model agree
Draw 22.5% 23.2% draw risk
Hamburger SV 20.9% 22.5%
xG - 1.79 : 1.07
Total 2.5 Over 83.2% - Under 16.8%
Model check - - Difference 0.02
The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.3% / 23.2% / 22.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,513 / 1,431 Eintracht Frankfurt / Hamburger SV
RD 74 / 76 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.12 market consensus · no value · model 22.5%
X 4.05 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.77 market consensus · no value · model 54.3%
Double chance
X2 2.03 market consensus · no value · model 45.7%
12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 76.8%
1X 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 77.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 market consensus · value +24.8% · model 83.2%
Under 2.5 2.52 market consensus · no value · model 16.8%
Both teams to score
No 2.51 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.22 23.7% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.15 24.1% 3.90 25.6%
4.00 25.0% 4.32 23.2% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.30 23.3% 4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.55 39.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.46 40.7% 2.43 41.2%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.75 — 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.0 — 1.16 86.2%
Over 2.25 — 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0%
Over 2.75 — 1.59 62.9%
Over 3.5 2.20 45.5% —
Over 4.5 3.75 26.7% —
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3% —
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1% —
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2% —
Under 3.5 1.65 60.6% —
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0% —
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7% —
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
Founded 1899
Hamburger SV
Founded 1887
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
D L W D L
25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
18.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
05.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
22.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 MayntsMaynts
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Hamburger SV
L L L D L
25.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:3 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
12.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
21.03 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 2:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.6 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEintracht Frankfurt - Hamburger SV

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 matches total
Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Hamburger SV: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 20.12 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.12 14:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
1:1
Hamburger SV
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.