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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
18.04.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction
18.04.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig

Germany Football
Stadium Doyche bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 3
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 RB Leipzig — 52%

1 · Eintracht Frankfurt23.9%
X · draw23.6%
2 · RB Leipzig52.5%

Model estimate: win Eintracht Frankfurt 23.9%, draw 23.6%, win RB Leipzig 52.5%. Model favourite — RB Leipzig.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig April 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Strongest: RB Leipzig - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.11 / X 3.92 / 2 2.10
  • 1X2 market: Eintracht Frankfurt 30.6% / X 24.2% / RB Leipzig 45.2%
  • Glicko: Eintracht Frankfurt 23.9% / X 23.6% / RB Leipzig 52.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 31.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 30.5%
X 24.2%
2 45.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 67.1%
Under 2.5 32.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 50.2%
Total Under 2.5
Score 0:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 18.04.2026 16:30 UTC
Stadium Doyche bank Park (Frankfurt-na-Mayne)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model RB Leipzig 52%
💹 Market RB Leipzig 4522%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig

Eintracht Frankfurt: Win 3.40 Eintracht Frankfurt: Draw 4.10 RB Leipzig Win: 1.95 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.00 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.80 Individualnyy total golov Eintracht Frankfurt bolshe 1.5: 2.10 Individualnyy total golov Eintracht Frankfurt menshe 1.…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:3
Events 12
Statistics 24
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
27' 27' Normal Goal | Yan Diomande RB Leipzig
34' 34' Normal Goal | Hugo Larsson | assist/sub out: Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab Eintracht Frankfurt
40' 40' Yellow Card | Max Finkgräfe RB Leipzig
59' 59' Substitution 1 | Assan Ouédraogo | assist/sub out: Brajan Gruda RB Leipzig
64' 64' Substitution 1 | Oscar Højlund | assist/sub out: Can Uzun Eintracht Frankfurt
70' 70' Normal Goal | Antonio Nusa RB Leipzig
71' 71' Substitution 2 | Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab | assist/sub out: Ansgar Knauff Eintracht Frankfurt
72' 72' Substitution 3 | Hugo Larsson | assist/sub out: Ellyes Skhiri Eintracht Frankfurt
Metric Eintracht Frankfurt RB Leipzig SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.45 2.09 final
Zablokirovannye udary 5 5 final
Shots off target 6 6 final
Shots on target 5 8 final
Udary vsego 16 19 final
Fouls soversheno 7 7 final
Zheltye kartochki 0 1 final
Offsides 3 0 final
Eintracht Frankfurt #3 Arthur Theate, #4 R. Koch, #5 A. Amenda, #6 O. Hojlund, #8 Farès Chaïbi, #9 J. Burkardt, #16 H. Larsson, #21 Nathaniel Brown, #23 M. Zetterer, #25 A. Kalimuendo, #29 A. Amaimouni
RB Leipzig #5 E. Bitshiabu, #7 A. Nusa, #13 N. Seiwald, #14 C. Baumgartner, #16 L. Klostermann, #17 R. Baku, #20 A. Ouédraogo, #26 M. Vandevoordt, #35 Max Finkgräfe, #40 Rômulo, #49 Y. Diomande
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Maksimović RB Leipzig Seyvy 0
A. Nusa RB Leipzig football.player.assists 1
A. Nusa RB Leipzig Dribling popytki 7
A. Nusa RB Leipzig Dribling uspeshno 3
A. Nusa RB Leipzig Edinoborstva vyigrano 11
A. Nusa RB Leipzig Fouls soversheno 3
A. Nusa RB Leipzig Fouls na igroke 2
A. Nusa RB Leipzig football.player.goals 1
A. Nusa RB Leipzig Seyvy 0
A. Nusa RB Leipzig football.player.minutes_played 93
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Eintracht Frankfurt 27.8% 23.9%
Draw 24.1% 23.6% draw risk
RB Leipzig 48.1% 52.5% market and model agree
xG - 1.10 : 1.74
Total 2.5 Over 31.7% - Under 68.3%
Model check - - Difference 0.04
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.04

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.9% / 23.6% / 52.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,525 / 1,609 Eintracht Frankfurt / RB Leipzig
RD 75 / 76 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 market consensus · value +10.2% · model 52.5%
X 3.92 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.11 market consensus · no value · model 23.9%
Double chance
X2 1.35 market consensus · weak value +2.7% · model 76.1%
12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 76.4%
1X 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 47.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 31.7%
Under 2.5 2.86 market consensus · weak value +95.3% · model 68.3%
Both teams to score
No 2.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.30 30.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.19 31.4% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 3.98 25.1% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3%
1.96 51.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.80 35.7% 2.79 35.8% 2.98 33.6% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.93 34.1%
yes 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.80 55.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.14 87.7% — 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.75 — — 1.09 91.7%
Over 2.0 — — 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.25 — — 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.45 69.0% — —
Over 3.25 — 1.98 50.5% —
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6% — —
Over 4.5 3.45 29.0% — —
Over 5.5 6.25 16.0% — —
Under 1.5 5.50 18.2% — —
Under 2.5 2.70 37.0% — —
Under 3.25 — 1.92 52.1% —
Under 3.5 1.70 58.8% — —
Under 4.5 1.30 76.9% — —
Under 5.5 1.11 90.1% — —
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
Founded 1899
RB Leipzig
Founded 2009
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
W D L W D
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
05.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
22.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 MayntsMaynts
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
08.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
RB Leipzig
W W W L W
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
20.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 5:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
15.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 matches total
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
RB Leipzig: 1 (50%)
Biggest win RB Leipzig 0:6 (06.12 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (0:6, 06.12 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 4

Match history

06.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
0:6
RB Leipzig
26.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
4:0
RB Leipzig
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.