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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
16.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Eintracht Frankfurt - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Frankfurt - VfB Stuttgart May 16, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.42 / X 4.19 / 2 1.88
  • 1X2 market: Eintracht Frankfurt 27.6% / X 22.5% / VfB Stuttgart 49.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 72.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 27.5%
X 22.5%
2 50.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 72.7%
Under 2.5 27.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Eintracht Frankfurt

Main outcome Eintracht Frankfurt
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 51.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 16.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Eintracht Frankfurt - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 18
Statistics 22
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
10' 10' Normal Goal | C. Andres José María Andrés Baixauli VfB Stuttgart
17' 17' Substitution 1 | J. Bahoya | assist/sub out: A. Knauff J. Bahoya Eintracht Frankfurt
27' 27' Yellow Card | C. Andres José María Andrés Baixauli VfB Stuttgart
45' 45' Normal Goal | N. Nartey | assist/sub out: D. Undav N. Nartey VfB Stuttgart
46' 46' Substitution 2 | A. Kalimuendo | assist/sub out: F. Chaibi A. Kalimuendo Eintracht Frankfurt
47' 47' Yellow Card | F. Chaibi Farès Chaïbi Eintracht Frankfurt
60' 60' Yellow Card | A. Amenda A. Amenda Eintracht Frankfurt
60' 60' Substitution 5 | C. Y. Uzun | assist/sub out: J. Burkardt C. Uzun Eintracht Frankfurt
Metric Eintracht Frankfurt VfB Stuttgart SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2.56 1.32 final
Zablokirovannye udary 6 2 final
Shots off target 3 4 final
Shots on target 7 7 final
Udary vsego 16 13 final
Fouls soversheno 14 12 final
Zheltye kartochki 2 3 final
Offsides 2 1 final
Eintracht Frankfurt #15 Ellyes Skhiri, #19 J. Bahoya, #21 Nathaniel Brown, #23 M. Zetterer, #25 A. Kalimuendo, #5 A. Amenda, #27 M. Gotze, #4 R. Koch, #42 C. Uzun, #13 Rasmus Kristensen, #20 Ritsu Doan
VfB Stuttgart #7 M. Mittelstädt, #10 C. Führich, #26 Deniz Undav, #28 N. Nartey, #33 Alexander Nübel, #6 Angelo Stiller, #9 E. Demirović, #24 J. Chabot, #3 R. Hendriks, #30 José María Andrés Baixauli, #18 Jamie Leweling
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Amenda Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.assists 0
A. Amenda Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Kalimuendo Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.assists 0
A. Kalimuendo Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 45
A. Knauff Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.assists 0
A. Knauff Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 73
C. Uzun Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.assists 0
C. Uzun Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 60
Ellyes Skhiri Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.assists 0
Ellyes Skhiri Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 90
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.88 market consensus · line only
X 4.19 market consensus · line only
1 3.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.89 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.32 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
3.35 29.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
X 4.40 22.7% 4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.45 22.5% 4.10 24.4%
1.83 54.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 3.35 29.9% 3.32 30.1% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.26 30.7% 3.50 28.6%
yes 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.27 78.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.08 92.6% 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.75 1.05 95.2%
Over 2.0 1.06 94.3%
Over 2.25 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.5 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7%
Over 2.75 1.33 75.2%
Over 3.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 4.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 5.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 1.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 2.5 3.50 28.6%
Under 3.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 4.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 5.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
L L D L W
08.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
18.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
VfB Stuttgart
W D D L W
09.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
19.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:4 BavariyaBavariya
12.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEintracht Frankfurt - VfB Stuttgart

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 matches total
VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
VfB Stuttgart: 1 (100%)
Biggest win VfB Stuttgart 2:3 (13.01 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 13.01 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

13.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
2:3
VfB Stuttgart