Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
27.02.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
2 : 0
Finished
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - 1. FC Köln February 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.19 / X 3.39 / 2 3.29
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 43.2% / X 28.0% / 1. FC Köln 28.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 43.3%
X 27.9%
2 28.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 52.3%
Under 2.5 47.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 27.02.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.30 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 2.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.19 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.02 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.22 45.1%
X 3.49 28.7%
3.42 29.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.18 45.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.24 44.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.20 31.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%
3.10 32.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.52 28.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.29 43.7%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
FC Augsburg
W W L W W
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
15.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:2 MayntsMaynts
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 BavariyaBavariya
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
1. FC Köln
D L L W L
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 2:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
14.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
08.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
30.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
25.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - 1. FC Köln

FC Augsburg
1 matches total
1. FC Köln
FC Augsburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
1. FC Köln: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 18.10 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (18.10 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
1:1
1. FC Köln