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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
06.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Football
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
2 : 0
Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen December 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.63 / X 3.79 / 2 1.96
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 26.3% / X 25.2% / Bayer Leverkusen 48.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 26.2%
X 25.1%
2 48.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 58.8%
Under 2.5 41.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.96 market consensus · line only
X 3.79 market consensus · line only
1 3.64 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.29 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.89 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.77 26.5%
X 3.82 26.2%
1.99 50.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.86 25.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.75 26.7%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.92 25.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.45 40.8% 2.36 42.4% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.32 43.1% 2.49 40.2%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.93 51.8%
Match center
FC Augsburg
L W L L L
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
09.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
31.10 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:6 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.6 Conceded
3 Points
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L W
29.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 3:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 6:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
01.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 0:3 BavariyaBavariya
26.10 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 FrayburgFrayburg
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen

FC Augsburg
1 matches total
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bayer Leverkusen: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 (26.04 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 26.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
0:2
Bayer Leverkusen