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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
26.10.2024 13:30 UTC Match prediction
26.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Football
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
2 : 1
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund October 26, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.01 / X 4.14 / 2 1.85
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 24.2% / X 23.4% / Borussia Dortmund 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 24.2%
X 23.4%
2 52.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.85 market consensus · line only
X 4.14 market consensus · line only
1 4.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.28 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.01 24.9%
X 4.14 24.2%
1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.28 78.1%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 2.03 49.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.22 45.1%
Under 3.5 1.72 58.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.05 32.8%
1.42 70.4%
Match center
FC Augsburg
L W L L W
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:3 FrayburgFrayburg
04.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
20.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 MayntsMaynts
15.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
6 Points
Borussia Dortmund
W L W L W
18.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
27.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 4:2 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
22.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:5 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
13.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 4:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
2.4 Conceded
9 Points