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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
31.10.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Football
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
0 : 1
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund October 31, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.30 / X 4.33 / 2 1.59
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 18.1% / X 22.0% / Borussia Dortmund 60.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 18.0%
X 22.0%
2 60.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 62.2%
Under 2.5 37.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.10.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.59 market consensus · line only
X 4.33 market consensus · line only
1 5.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.16 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.44 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.28 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.74 17.4%
X 4.39 22.8%
1.59 62.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.10 19.6% 5.40 18.5% 5.43 18.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.80 17.2%
X 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.48 22.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7%
1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.34 42.7% 2.24 44.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.41 41.5%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.49 40.2%
Match center
FC Augsburg
L D W L L
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:6 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:4 MayntsMaynts
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.8 Conceded
4 Points
Borussia Dortmund
W L D W W
25.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:0 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
18.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 BavariyaBavariya
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:0 MayntsMaynts
21.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund

FC Augsburg
1 matches total
Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Borussia Dortmund: 0 (0%)
Biggest win FC Augsburg 2:1 (26.10 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 26.10 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
2:1
Borussia Dortmund