Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
04.10.2024 18:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Futbol
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
2 : 1
Finished
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - Borussia Monchengladbach 4 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.51 / X 3.70 / 2 2.79
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 38.8% / X 26.3% / Borussia Monchengladbach 34.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 38.8%
X 26.3%
2 34.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2024 18:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.79 market consensus · line only
X 3.70 market consensus · line only
1 2.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.51 39.8%
Х 3.70 27.0%
П2 2.79 35.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.58 63.3%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.48 67.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.45 40.8%
ТМ 3.5 1.61 62.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.83 54.6%
П2 2.05 48.8%
Match center
FC Augsburg
L L W L
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
20.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 MayntsMaynts
15.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
01.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.3 Scored
3.0 Conceded
3 Points
Borussia Monchengladbach
W L L
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
21.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
3 Points