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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
25.04.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction Prediction
25.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt

Germany Football
Stadium WWK Arena
Capacity 30 662
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1 : 1
Finished
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Eintracht Frankfurt — 43%

1 · FC Augsburg30.7%
X · draw26.7%
2 · Eintracht Frankfurt42.6%

Model estimate: win FC Augsburg 30.7%, draw 26.7%, win Eintracht Frankfurt 42.6%. Model favourite — Eintracht Frankfurt.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt April 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.67 / 2 2.63
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 38.6% / X 25.7% / Eintracht Frankfurt 35.8%
  • Glicko: FC Augsburg 30.7% / X 26.7% / Eintracht Frankfurt 42.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 38.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 38.6%
X 25.6%
2 35.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 62.2%
Under 2.5 37.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome
Agreement 4/5
Confidence 46.3%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:1

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center
Start 25.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Stadium WWK Arena (Augsburg)
Capacity 30,662

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Eintracht Frankfurt 43%
💹 Market FC Augsburg 3856%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

FC Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt

FC Augsburg: Win 2.40 FC Augsburg: Draw 3.70 Eintracht Frankfurt Win: 2.55 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.30 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.62 Individualnyy total golov FC Augsburg bolshe 1.5: 1.83 Individualnyy total golov FC Augsburg menshe 1.5: 1.83 Individualnyy …

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 15
Statistics 24
Lineups 38
min Event Player Team
7' 7' Yellow Card | E. Skhiri Gabriele Casentini Eintracht Frankfurt
44' 44' Normal Goal | A. Kade FC Augsburg
46' 46' Substitution 1 | L. Arrhov | assist/sub out: R. Doan Eintracht Frankfurt
46' 46' Yellow Card | R. Doan Daniel Gleiber Eintracht Frankfurt
46' 46' Substitution 2 | A. Amaimouni | assist/sub out: A. Knauff Eintracht Frankfurt
59' 59' Substitution 1 | M. Gregoritsch | assist/sub out: R. Ribeiro FC Augsburg
66' 66' Normal Goal | R. Doan | assist/sub out: C. Uzun Daniel Gleiber Eintracht Frankfurt
70' 70' Yellow Card | H. Massengo FC Augsburg
Metric FC Augsburg Eintracht Frankfurt SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2 1.11 final
Zablokirovannye udary 6 4 final
Shots off target 8 8 final
Shots on target 3 7 final
Udary vsego 17 19 final
Fouls soversheno 11 13 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 2 final
Offsides 1 1 final
FC Augsburg #4 R. Koch, #5 A. Amenda, #6 O. Hojlund, #15 Ellyes Skhiri, #16 H. Larsson, #21 Nathaniel Brown, #23 M. Zetterer, #25 A. Kalimuendo, #29 A. Amaimouni, #31 L. Arrhov, #42 C. Uzun
Eintracht Frankfurt #1 F. Dahmen, #4 H. Massengo, #6 J. Gouweleeuw, #13 D. Giannoulis, #16 C. Zesiger, #19 R. Fellhauer, #20 A. Claude-Maurice, #30 A. Kade, #32 F. Rieder, #34 Arthur Chaves, #38 M. Gregoritsch
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Claude-Maurice Eintracht Frankfurt Dribling popytki 8
A. Claude-Maurice Eintracht Frankfurt Dribling uspeshno 2
A. Claude-Maurice Eintracht Frankfurt Edinoborstva vyigrano 10
A. Claude-Maurice Eintracht Frankfurt Fouls soversheno 1
A. Claude-Maurice Eintracht Frankfurt Fouls na igroke 2
A. Claude-Maurice Eintracht Frankfurt Seyvy 0
A. Claude-Maurice Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 66
A. Claude-Maurice Eintracht Frankfurt Tochnost pasov % 2
A. Claude-Maurice Eintracht Frankfurt Klyuchevye pasy 14
A. Claude-Maurice Eintracht Frankfurt Reyting (staryy) 7.3
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FC Augsburg 38.6% 30.7% market favourite
Draw 25.7% 26.7% draw risk
Eintracht Frankfurt 35.7% 42.6% Glicko contrarian
xG - 1.13 : 1.38
Total 2.5 Over 38.9% - Under 61.1%
Model check - - Difference 0.08
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.08

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 30.7% / 26.7% / 42.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,481 / 1,513 FC Augsburg / Eintracht Frankfurt
RD 75 / 74 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.63 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 42.6%
X 3.67 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.44 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 30.7%
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 69.3%
12 1.27 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 73.3%
1X 1.47 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 57.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 38.9%
Under 2.5 2.48 market consensus · weak value +51.5% · model 61.1%
Both teams to score
No 2.64 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.42 41.3% 2.55 39.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.82 26.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0%
2.58 38.8% 2.76 36.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.63 38.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.70 37.0% 2.66 37.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.63 38.0%
yes 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.17 85.5% 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.75 — 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.0 — 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.25 — 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6%
Over 3.5 2.25 44.4% —
Over 4.5 3.80 26.3% —
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3% —
Under 1.5 5.00 20.0% —
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2% —
Under 3.5 1.62 61.7% —
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0% —
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7% —
Match center
FC Augsburg
Founded 1907
Eintracht Frankfurt
Founded 1899
Match center
FC Augsburg
W D D L L
18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
10.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
22.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:5 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
5 Points
Eintracht Frankfurt
L W D L W
18.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
05.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
22.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 MayntsMaynts
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt

FC Augsburg
2 matches total
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Augsburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Eintracht Frankfurt: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Eintracht Frankfurt 0:1 (13.12 14:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 13.12 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (20.04 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
0:1
Eintracht Frankfurt
20.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
0:0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.