Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
15.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - FC St. Pauli

Germany Futbol
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
3 : 1
Finished
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - FC St. Pauli 15 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 3.44 / 2 3.92
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 47.0% / X 28.3% / FC St. Pauli 24.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 47.0%
X 28.3%
2 24.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - FC St. Pauli

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.92 market consensus · line only
X 3.44 market consensus · line only
1 2.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.83 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.07 48.3%
Х 3.44 29.1%
П2 3.92 25.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.29 77.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.95 51.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.95 51.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.48 67.6%
П2 2.81 35.6%
Match center
FC Augsburg
L
01.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - FC St. Pauli

FC Augsburg
0 matches total
FC St. Pauli
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history