Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
31.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - FC St. Pauli

Germany Futbol
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
2 : 1
Finished
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - FC St. Pauli 31 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.10 / 2 4.21
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 46.7% / X 30.7% / FC St. Pauli 22.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 46.7%
X 30.7%
2 22.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 37.3%
Under 2.5 62.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - FC St. Pauli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.23 market consensus · line only
X 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 2.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.79 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.04 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.14 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.05 48.8%
Х 3.13 32.0%
П2 4.52 22.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6%
Х 3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.17 31.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
П2 4.10 24.4% 4.30 23.3% 4.51 22.2% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.19 45.7% 2.19 45.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.20 45.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.24 44.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.81 55.3%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7%
Match center
FC Augsburg
W D D L D
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 BavariyaBavariya
18.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:2 FrayburgFrayburg
15.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
11.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
FC St. Pauli
D D L L D
27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
23.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
14.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
21.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 MayntsMaynts
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - FC St. Pauli

FC Augsburg
2 matches total
FC St. Pauli
FC Augsburg: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC St. Pauli: 1 (50%)
Biggest win FC Augsburg 3:1 (15.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 15.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 4

Match history

14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
1:2
FC St. Pauli
15.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
3:1
FC St. Pauli