Match center
Start
20.09.2024 18:30 UTC
20.09.2024 18:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg - FSV Mainz 05
2
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC Augsburg - FSV Mainz 05 20 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.
Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.54 / 2 2.98
- 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 39.9% / X 27.5% / FSV Mainz 05 32.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.8%
1
39.9%
X
27.5%
2
32.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FC Augsburg - FSV Mainz 05
Form
2/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.98
market consensus · line only
X
3.54
market consensus · line only
1
2.44
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.62
market consensus · line only
12
1.34
market consensus · line only
1X
1.44
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.76
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.17
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.44 41.0% |
| Х | 3.54 28.3% |
| П2 | 2.98 33.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.62 61.7% |
| home_away | 1.34 74.6% |
| home_draw | 1.44 69.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.17 46.1% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 | 2.16 46.3% |
Match center
FC Augsburg
W
L
15.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
3:1
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
01.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
0:4
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
2.5
Conceded
3
Points
FSV Mainz 05
L
15.09 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
1:2
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals