Bundesliga Germany

20.09.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

20.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

FC Augsburg - FSV Mainz 05

Germany Futbol

FC Augsburg

1 : 4

Finished

FSV Mainz 05

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - FSV Mainz 05 20 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 3.46 / 2 2.64
1X2 market: FC Augsburg 35.7% / X 27.9% / FSV Mainz 05 36.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%

1 35.7%

X 27.8%

2 36.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%

Over 2.5 49.9%

Under 2.5 50.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

FC Augsburg - FSV Mainz 05

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.65 market consensus · line only

X 3.45 market consensus · line only

1 2.70 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.49 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.51 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.68 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.40 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.12 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.74 36.5%
Х	3.43 29.2%
П2	2.69 37.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
П1	2.74 36.5%	2.77 36.1%	2.70 37.0%	2.74 36.5%	2.74 36.5%	2.50 40.0%
Х	3.45 29.0%	3.60 27.8%	3.52 28.4%	3.43 29.2%	3.43 29.2%	3.30 30.3%
П2	2.58 38.8%	2.66 37.6%	2.59 38.6%	2.69 37.2%	2.69 37.2%	2.62 38.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.17 46.1%	2.07 48.3%	2.04 49.0%	2.22 45.1%	2.10 47.6%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.69 59.2%	1.69 59.2%	1.71 58.5%	1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%
home_away	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.54 64.9%	1.53 65.4%	1.52 65.8%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%