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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
22.11.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction
22.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - Hamburger SV

Germany Football
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1 : 0
Finished
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - Hamburger SV November 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.45 / 2 3.00
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 40.8% / X 27.6% / Hamburger SV 31.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 40.8%
X 27.5%
2 31.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 53.4%
Under 2.5 46.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - Hamburger SV

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.01 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 2.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.99 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.23 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.37 42.2%
X 3.53 28.3%
3.11 32.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.32 43.1% 2.35 42.6% 2.41 41.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.32 43.1%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2%
2.98 33.6% 2.94 34.0% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 2.95 33.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.33 42.9%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9%
Match center
FC Augsburg
L L L D W
09.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
31.10 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:6 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
4 Points
Hamburger SV
D L L L W
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
02.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:4 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
05.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 4:0 MayntsMaynts
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - Hamburger SV

FC Augsburg
0 matches total
Hamburger SV
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history