Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
25.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - RB Leipzig

Germany Futbol
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
0 : 6
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - RB Leipzig 25 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.34 / X 3.91 / 2 2.02
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 28.5% / X 24.4% / RB Leipzig 47.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 28.5%
X 24.4%
2 47.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 64.6%
Under 2.5 35.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 market consensus · line only
X 3.91 market consensus · line only
1 3.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.81 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.46 28.9%
Х 3.94 25.4%
П2 2.06 48.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4%
Х 3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.18 23.9% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7%
П2 2.02 49.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.70 37.0% 2.82 35.5% 2.69 37.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.89 34.6%
yes 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
Match center
FC Augsburg
D W L L L
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:4 MayntsMaynts
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
RB Leipzig
W D W W W
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
20.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 MayntsMaynts
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - RB Leipzig

FC Augsburg
1 matches total
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
RB Leipzig: 1 (100%)
Biggest win RB Leipzig 0:4 (28.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 28.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
0:4
RB Leipzig