Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
18.01.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - SC Freiburg

Germany Futbol
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
2 : 2
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - SC Freiburg 18 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.64 / X 3.22 / 2 2.76
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 36.0% / X 29.6% / SC Freiburg 34.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 36.0%
X 29.5%
2 34.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 47.3%
Under 2.5 52.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.01.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.76 market consensus · line only
X 3.22 market consensus · line only
1 2.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.69 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.68 37.3%
Х 3.32 30.1%
П2 2.83 35.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.68 37.3% 2.66 37.6% 2.71 36.9% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7%
Х 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.36 29.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
П2 2.68 37.3% 2.78 36.0% 2.87 34.8% 2.63 38.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6%
Match center
FC Augsburg
D L D L W
15.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
11.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:0 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
SC Freiburg
L W W D L
14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 4:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
14.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - SC Freiburg

FC Augsburg
2 matches total
SC Freiburg
FC Augsburg: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
SC Freiburg: 1 (50%)
Biggest win FC Augsburg 3:1 (23.08 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 23.08 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 4

Match history

23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
3:1
Frayburg
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
1:3
Frayburg