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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
17.05.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
17.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - Union Berlin

Germany Football
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1 : 2
Finished
Union Berlin
Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - Union Berlin May 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.69 / 2 4.11
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 50.1% / X 26.3% / Union Berlin 23.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 50.1%
X 26.3%
2 23.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 54.4%
Under 2.5 45.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.95 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.94 51.6%
X 3.69 27.1%
4.11 24.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.95 51.3%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.26 79.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.78 56.2%
Under 2.5 2.12 47.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.43 69.9%
2.97 33.7%
Match center
FC Augsburg
L L L D W
11.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
04.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:3 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
20.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:0 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Union Berlin
L D D D D
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:3 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
27.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
19.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 4:4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:0 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - Union Berlin

FC Augsburg
0 matches total
Union Berlin
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history