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Bundesliga Germany

15.01.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

15.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

FC Augsburg - Union Berlin

Germany Football

FC Augsburg

1 : 1

Finished

Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - Union Berlin January 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.63 / X 3.15 / 2 2.81
1X2 market: FC Augsburg 36.1% / X 30.1% / Union Berlin 33.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%

1 36.1%

X 30.1%

2 33.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 43.4%

Under 2.5 56.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

FC Augsburg - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.81 market consensus · line only

X 3.16 market consensus · line only

1 2.63 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.49 market consensus · line only

12 1.36 market consensus · line only

1X 1.44 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.73 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.01 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.88 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.68 37.3%
X	3.27 30.6%
	2.87 34.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.62 38.2%	2.66 37.6%	2.73 36.6%	2.50 40.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.70 37.0%
X	3.10 32.3%	3.15 31.8%	3.29 30.4%	3.00 33.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.00 33.3%
	2.80 35.7%	2.86 35.0%	2.90 34.5%	2.75 36.4%	2.75 36.4%	2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.90 52.6%	1.93 51.8%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.98 50.5%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.48 67.6%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.38 72.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.38 72.5%
home_draw	1.42 70.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.46 68.5%