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Bundesliga Germany

13.12.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction

13.12.2025 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli - 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany Football

FC St. Pauli

2 : 1

Finished

1. FC Heidenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - 1. FC Heidenheim December 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC St. Pauli.

Line favourite market consensus: FC St. Pauli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.46 / 2 4.53
1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 51.4% / X 27.5% / 1. FC Heidenheim 21.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 51.5%

X 27.5%

2 21.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 43.6%

Under 2.5 56.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 13.12.2025 14:30 UTC

Match center

FC St. Pauli - 1. FC Heidenheim

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.55 market consensus · line only

X 3.47 market consensus · line only

1 1.85 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.96 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.21 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.28 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.70 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.77 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.85 54.1%
X	3.61 27.7%
	4.75 21.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.86 53.8%	1.84 54.4%	1.93 51.8%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.87 53.5%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%	3.57 28.0%	3.25 30.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%
	4.40 22.7%	4.80 20.8%	4.62 21.7%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.80 55.6%	1.81 55.3%	1.77 56.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.76 56.8%	1.81 55.3%
yes	1.95 51.3%	2.01 49.8%	1.96 51.0%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.91 52.4%	1.97 50.8%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	2.00 50.0%	2.01 49.8%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%	1.34 74.6%
home_draw	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%

Match center

FC St. Pauli

D L L L L

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 1:1 1. FC Köln

29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 1:3 Bavariya

23.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 0:1 Union Berlin

09.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 1:2 Frayburg

01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 0:4 Borussia Mönchengladbach

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

0.6 Scored

2.2 Conceded

1 Points

1. FC Heidenheim

W W L L D

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 Frayburg

29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 Union Berlin

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 0:6 Bayer Leverkusen

01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.4 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC St. Pauli - 1. FC Heidenheim

FC St. Pauli

0 matches total

1. FC Heidenheim

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

FC St. Pauli - 1. FC Heidenheim

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - 1. FC Heidenheim December 13, 2025

Fair probability (no margin)

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FC St. Pauli - 1. FC Heidenheim

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history