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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
19.10.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction
19.10.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC St. Pauli - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Football
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
0 : 3
Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - 1899 Hoffenheim October 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC St. Pauli.

Line favourite market consensus: FC St. Pauli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.54 / X 3.41 / 2 2.74
  • 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 37.4% / X 27.9% / 1899 Hoffenheim 34.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 37.4%
X 27.9%
2 34.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 53.1%
Under 2.5 46.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2025 15:30 UTC
Match center

FC St. Pauli - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.74 market consensus · line only
X 3.42 market consensus · line only
1 2.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.46 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.73 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.61 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.24 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.59 38.6%
X 3.49 28.7%
2.81 35.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.52 39.7% 2.58 38.8% 2.62 38.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.52 39.7%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
2.72 36.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.84 35.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7% 2.36 42.4%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
FC St. Pauli
L L L W W
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
19.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
29.08 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
1899 Hoffenheim
L D L W L
03.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 FrayburgFrayburg
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:4 BavariyaBavariya
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 4:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points