Match center
Start
23.08.2025 16:30 UTC
23.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund
3
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 23 августа 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.
Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.11 / X 3.61 / 2 1.89
- 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 23.2% / X 26.4% / Borussia Dortmund 50.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
23.2%
X
26.4%
2
50.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
52.9%
Under 2.5
47.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FC St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.89
market consensus · line only
X
3.62
market consensus · line only
1
4.12
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.24
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.93
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.25
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.05
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.89
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.57
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.81
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.03
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.11
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.69
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.27 23.4% |
| Х | 3.70 27.0% |
| П2 | 1.91 52.4% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.95 25.3% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.30 23.3% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.25 23.5% |
| Х | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.79 26.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.65 27.4% |
| П2 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.17 46.1% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.85 54.1% | 1.97 50.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.97 50.8% |
Match center
FC St. Pauli
L
D
L
D
D
17.05 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:2
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
11.05 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
2:2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
03.05 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:1
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
27.04 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:0
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
20.04 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
0
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
3
Points
Borussia Dortmund
W
W
W
W
W
17.05 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
3:0
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
11.05 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
4:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
03.05 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
4:0
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
26.04 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
3:2
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
20.04 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
3:2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
15
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFC St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
1
matches total
FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Borussia Dortmund: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 (18.10 18:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (1:2, 18.10 18:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
18.10 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:2
Borussia Dortmund