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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
06.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
06.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC St. Pauli - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
1 : 1
Finished
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - Borussia Monchengladbach April 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC St. Pauli.

Line favourite market consensus: FC St. Pauli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.26 / X 3.56 / 2 3.28
  • 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 43.0% / X 27.3% / Borussia Monchengladbach 29.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 43.0%
X 27.3%
2 29.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 53.8%
Under 2.5 46.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

FC St. Pauli - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.28 market consensus · line only
X 3.56 market consensus · line only
1 2.26 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.26 44.3%
X 3.56 28.1%
3.28 30.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.70 58.8%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.38 72.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.62 61.7%
2.39 41.8%
Match center
FC St. Pauli
D L L W D
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
18.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
05.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:3 MayntsMaynts
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 3:0 FrayburgFrayburg
22.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Borussia Monchengladbach
D W L W L
25.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 MayntsMaynts
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 3:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
04.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
21.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points