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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
01.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC St. Pauli - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
0 : 4
Finished
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - Borussia Monchengladbach November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC St. Pauli.

Line favourite market consensus: FC St. Pauli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 3.43 / 2 2.99
  • 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 39.7% / X 28.1% / Borussia Monchengladbach 32.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 39.8%
X 28.1%
2 32.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 52.4%
Under 2.5 47.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

FC St. Pauli - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.43 market consensus · line only
1 2.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.03 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.19 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.42 41.3%
X 3.46 28.9%
3.07 32.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.42 41.3% 2.49 40.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.42 41.3% 2.42 41.3%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.49 28.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.42 29.2% 3.46 28.9% 3.46 28.9%
2.95 33.9% 3.05 32.8% 2.88 34.7% 3.02 33.1% 3.07 32.6% 3.07 32.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.21 45.3% 2.17 46.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.32 43.1% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
FC St. Pauli
L L L L L
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
19.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
19.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Borussia Monchengladbach
L L D L D
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:3 BavariyaBavariya
17.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:3 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
05.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:0 FrayburgFrayburg
27.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 4:6 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
21.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.6 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC St. Pauli - Borussia Monchengladbach

FC St. Pauli
1 matches total
Borussia Monchengladbach
FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Borussia Monchengladbach: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 06.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.04 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:1
Borussia Mönchengladbach