Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
14.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC St. Pauli - FC Augsburg

Germany Futbol
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
2 : 1
Finished
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - FC Augsburg 14 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC St. Pauli.

Line favourite market consensus: FC St. Pauli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.15 / X 3.37 / 2 3.49
  • 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 44.4% / X 28.3% / FC Augsburg 27.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 44.4%
X 28.3%
2 27.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 45.7%
Under 2.5 54.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 14.09.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

FC St. Pauli - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.50 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 2.15 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.41 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.19 45.7%
Х 3.41 29.3%
П2 3.58 27.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.12 47.2% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9%
Х 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.52 28.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
П2 3.45 29.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6%
Match center
FC St. Pauli
W D L D L
29.08 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
23.08 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 3:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:2 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
11.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
FC Augsburg
L W L L L
30.08 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 BavariyaBavariya
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:1 FrayburgFrayburg
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
11.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
04.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:3 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC St. Pauli - FC Augsburg

FC St. Pauli
1 matches total
FC Augsburg
FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Augsburg: 1 (100%)
Biggest win FC Augsburg 1:3 (15.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 15.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

15.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:3
FC Augsburg