Match center
Start
05.10.2024 16:30 UTC
05.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli - FSV Mainz 05
0
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - FSV Mainz 05 5 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC St. Pauli.
Line favourite market consensus: FC St. Pauli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.18 / X 3.37 / 2 3.67
- 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 44.6% / X 28.9% / FSV Mainz 05 26.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.8%
1
44.6%
X
28.9%
2
26.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5
48.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FC St. Pauli - FSV Mainz 05
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.67
market consensus · line only
X
3.37
market consensus · line only
1
2.18
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.75
market consensus · line only
12
1.37
market consensus · line only
1X
1.32
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.01
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Х | 3.37 29.7% |
| П2 | 3.67 27.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.75 57.1% |
| home_away | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.32 75.8% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.01 49.8% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.54 64.9% |
| П2 | 2.59 38.6% |
Match center
FC St. Pauli
W
D
L
28.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
3:0
Frayburg
Frayburg
22.09 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:0
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
15.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:3
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.3
Scored
1.0
Conceded
4
Points
FSV Mainz 05
L
W
L
28.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
0:2
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
20.09 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
3:2
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
15.09 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
1:2
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.3
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFC St. Pauli - FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals