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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
22.09.2024 17:30 UTC Match prediction
22.09.2024 17:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC St. Pauli - RB Leipzig

Germany Futbol
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 22 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.27 / X 4.09 / 2 1.68
  • 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 18.4% / X 23.8% / RB Leipzig 57.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 18.4%
X 23.7%
2 57.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 55.1%
Under 2.5 44.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2024 17:30 UTC
Match center

FC St. Pauli - RB Leipzig

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · line only
X 4.09 market consensus · line only
1 5.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.27 19.0%
Х 4.09 24.5%
П2 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.19 84.0%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.31 43.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.76 56.8%
ТМ 2.5 2.16 46.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.07 24.6%
П2 1.27 78.7%
Match center
FC St. Pauli
L
15.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:3 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
RB Leipzig
D
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC St. Pauli - RB Leipzig

FC St. Pauli
0 matches total
RB Leipzig
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history