Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
27.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC St. Pauli - RB Leipzig

Germany Futbol
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
1 : 1
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 27 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.72 / X 3.61 / 2 1.78
  • 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 20.2% / X 26.4% / RB Leipzig 53.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 20.2%
X 26.4%
2 53.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 46.2%
Under 2.5 53.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

FC St. Pauli - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.62 market consensus · line only
1 4.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 2.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.89 20.5%
Х 3.76 26.6%
П2 1.79 55.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 4.60 21.7% 4.95 20.2% 5.03 19.9% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 5.30 18.9%
Х 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.74 26.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
П2 1.76 56.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.12 47.2% 2.12 47.2%
Match center
FC St. Pauli
D L L D W
23.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
14.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
21.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 MayntsMaynts
13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
RB Leipzig
W L W L L
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
17.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:5 BavariyaBavariya
14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:0 FrayburgFrayburg
20.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:3 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
12.12 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:3 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC St. Pauli - RB Leipzig

FC St. Pauli
1 matches total
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
RB Leipzig: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (22.09 17:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:0
RB Leipzig