Match center
Start
22.03.2026 16:30 UTC
22.03.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli - SC Freiburg
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - SC Freiburg 22 марта 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC St. Pauli.
Line favourite market consensus: FC St. Pauli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.69 / X 3.03 / 2 2.84
- 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 35.3% / X 31.3% / SC Freiburg 33.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
35.3%
X
31.3%
2
33.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5
40.2%
Under 2.5
59.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FC St. Pauli - SC Freiburg
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.84
market consensus · line only
X
3.04
market consensus · line only
1
2.70
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.46
market consensus · line only
12
1.37
market consensus · line only
1X
1.43
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.48
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.17
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.77
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.22
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.37
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.59
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.82
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.93
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.85 35.1% |
| Х | 3.08 32.5% |
| П2 | 2.76 36.2% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.64 37.9% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.83 35.3% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.70 37.0% |
| Х | 3.00 33.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.05 32.8% |
| П2 | 2.80 35.7% | 2.91 34.4% | 2.95 33.9% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.87 34.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.77 56.5% |
| yes | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.94 51.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.45 69.0% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.42 70.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% |
Match center
FC St. Pauli
L
D
W
W
L
13.03 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
08.03 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
28.02 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:0
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
22.02 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
2:1
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
14.02 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:4
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
SC Freiburg
L
D
L
W
L
15.03 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
0:1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
07.03 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
3:3
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
01.03 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
0:2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
22.02 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
2:1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
14.02 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg
0:3
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFC St. Pauli - SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
2
matches total
FC St. Pauli: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
SC Freiburg: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
FC St. Pauli 3:0 (28.09 13:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (1:2, 09.11 14:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
09.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:2
Frayburg
28.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
3:0
Frayburg