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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
26.10.2024 13:30 UTC Match prediction
26.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC St. Pauli - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0
Finished
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - VfL Wolfsburg October 26, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC St. Pauli.

Line favourite market consensus: FC St. Pauli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 3.46 / 2 2.96
  • 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 39.0% / X 28.2% / VfL Wolfsburg 32.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 39.0%
X 28.1%
2 32.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.7%
Over 2.5 51.5%
Under 2.5 48.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

FC St. Pauli - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.96 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 2.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.50 40.0%
X 3.46 28.9%
2.96 33.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.59 62.9%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 2.5 2.01 49.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.78 56.2%
2.13 47.0%
Match center
FC St. Pauli
L L W D L
18.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
05.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:3 MayntsMaynts
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 3:0 FrayburgFrayburg
22.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
15.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:3 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
VfL Wolfsburg
L W D L L
20.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:4 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
22.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:4 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
2.2 Scored
2.6 Conceded
4 Points