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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
16.05.2026 13:30 UTC 34 round
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC St. Pauli - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
1 : 3
Finished
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC St. Pauli - VfL Wolfsburg May 16, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 3.52 / 2 2.49
  • 1X2 market: FC St. Pauli 35.5% / X 26.7% / VfL Wolfsburg 37.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 35.5%
X 26.7%
2 37.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 55.5%
Under 2.5 44.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Millerntor (Gamburg, Germany), 29 546 zriteley (100% pri vmestimosti 29 546)
Referee Daniel Zibert (Berlin)
Start 16.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

FC St. Pauli - VfL Wolfsburg

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Sankt-Pauli - Volfsburg, 16 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Germany po futbolu (Bundesliga) 2025/2026, 34 round. Sankt-Pauli - Volfsburg, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.49 market consensus · line only
X 3.52 market consensus · line only
1 2.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.54 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.89 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.33 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.52 39.7% 2.76 36.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.71 27.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6%
2.54 39.4% 2.60 38.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.55 39.2% 2.50 40.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.35 42.6%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.19 84.0%
Over 1.75 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.0 1.31 76.3%
Over 2.25 1.58 63.3%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 3.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 4.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 3.5 1.44 69.4%
Under 4.5 1.17 85.5%
Match center
FC St. Pauli

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

VfL Wolfsburg

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Manolis Saliakas Matias Pereyra Lazh Zimon Shpari Yannik Robach Dzheyms Sends Travmirovannye Maksimilian Arnold Bentse Dardai Yenson Selt Kilian Fisher Yonas Vind Rozherio Patrik Vimmer Kleyton Santos
Match center
FC St. Pauli
L L L D L
09.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 MayntsMaynts
25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
17.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
11.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:5 BavariyaBavariya
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
1 Points
VfL Wolfsburg
L D D W L
09.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 BavariyaBavariya
03.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 FrayburgFrayburg
25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC St. Pauli - VfL Wolfsburg

FC St. Pauli
2 matches total
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
VfL Wolfsburg: 1 (50%)
Biggest win VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 (14.01 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 14.01 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (26.10 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

14.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:2
VfL Wolfsburg
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:0
VfL Wolfsburg
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 FC St. Pauli
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli Team comparison VfL Wolfsburg
33 Games 33
6 Wins 6
8 Draws 8
19 Losses 19
28 Scored 42
57 Conceded 68
26 Points 26
97.34 Attacks 88.64
43.41 Dangerous attacks 37.45
0 Big chances 0
9.97 Shots on goal 11.3
3.27 Shots on target 4.03
Goals Konstantinos Kulerakis Kristian Eriksen 0:1 37' Abduli Sisey Konnor Metkalf 1 57' Nikola Vasil 1:2 64' Dzhenan Peychinovich 1:3 80' Nezabitye penalti Kristian Eriksen 77' Nakazaniya Vini Souza 18' Adam Dagim 33' Abduli Sisey 88' Kento Siogai 90+4' Dzhoel Chima Fudzita 90+5'

Sankt-Pauli Volfsburg 33 Games 33 6 Wins 6 8 Draws 8 19 Losses 19 28 Scored 42 57 Conceded 68 26 Points 26 97.34 Attacks 88.64 43.41 Dangerous attacks 37.45 0 Big chances 0 9.97 Shots on goal 11.3.27 Udary v stvor 4.03 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.64 Uglovye 4.3 1.88 Offsaydy 1.24 9.7 Foly 11.58 44.21 % vladeniya myachom 45.09 1.55 Warnings 1.91 0.06 Sendoffs 0.09 Goly Konstantinos Kulerakis Kristian Eriksen 0:1 37' Abduli Sisey Konnor Metkalf 1 57' Nikola Vasil 1:2 64' Dzhenan Peychinovich 1:3 80' Nezabitye penalti Kristian Eriksen 77' Nakazaniya Vini Souza 18' Adam Dagim 33' Abduli Sisey 88' Kento Siogai 90+4' Dzhoel Chima Fudzita 90+5'