Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
13.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FSV Mainz 05 - 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany Futbol
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 1
Finished
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - 1. FC Heidenheim 13 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.76 / 2 4.57
  • 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 53.7% / X 25.4% / 1. FC Heidenheim 20.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 53.7%
X 25.4%
2 20.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 54.5%
Under 2.5 45.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - 1. FC Heidenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.58 market consensus · line only
X 3.77 market consensus · line only
1 1.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.07 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.24 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.12 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.80 55.6%
Х 3.78 26.5%
П2 4.77 21.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1%
Х 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0% 3.60 27.8%
П2 4.30 23.3% 4.60 21.7% 4.78 20.9% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.50 22.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.21 45.3% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.12 47.2% 2.12 47.2%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
FSV Mainz 05
D D D L L
10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
21.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
14.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:2 BavariyaBavariya
05.12 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
30.11 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:4 FrayburgFrayburg
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
1. FC Heidenheim
D L L W W
10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:2 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
21.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:4 BavariyaBavariya
13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 FrayburgFrayburg
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - 1. FC Heidenheim

FSV Mainz 05
1 matches total
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
1. FC Heidenheim: 1 (100%)
Biggest win 1. FC Heidenheim 0:2 (28.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 28.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Maynts
0:2
1. FC Heidenheim