Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Bundesliga Germany

21.11.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction

21.11.2025 19:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Football

FSV Mainz 05

1 : 1

Finished

1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - 1899 Hoffenheim November 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.54 / X 3.55 / 2 2.67
1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 37.5% / X 26.9% / 1899 Hoffenheim 35.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 37.5%

X 26.8%

2 35.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 57.2%

Under 2.5 42.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 21.11.2025 19:30 UTC

Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.68 market consensus · line only

X 3.55 market consensus · line only

1 2.54 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.53 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.48 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.62 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.31 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.40 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.55 39.2%
X	3.62 27.6%
	2.78 36.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.58 38.8%	2.49 40.2%	2.63 38.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.60 38.5%
X	3.50 28.6%	3.65 27.4%	3.68 27.2%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.70 27.0%
	2.58 38.8%	2.72 36.8%	2.74 36.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.40 41.7%	2.48 40.3%	2.40 41.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.36 42.4%	2.58 38.8%
yes	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.52 65.8%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.52 65.8%	1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.48 67.6%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.32 75.8%
home_draw	1.48 67.6%	1.51 66.2%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%