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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
25.10.2024 18:30 UTC Match prediction
25.10.2024 18:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1
Finished
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Monchengladbach October 25, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.79 / 2 2.98
  • 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 41.7% / X 25.7% / Borussia Monchengladbach 32.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 41.7%
X 25.7%
2 32.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 60.4%
Under 2.5 39.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2024 18:30 UTC
Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.79 market consensus · line only
1 2.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.33 42.9%
X 3.79 26.4%
2.98 33.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.66 60.2%
home_away 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.61 62.1%
Under 2.5 2.46 40.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.72 58.1%
2.21 45.3%
Match center
FSV Mainz 05
L W L W L
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
05.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 3:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
20.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 3:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
15.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Borussia Monchengladbach
W L W L L
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 3:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
04.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
21.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points