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Bundesliga Germany

05.12.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction

05.12.2025 19:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football

FSV Mainz 05

0 : 1

Finished

Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Monchengladbach December 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Monchengladbach.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Monchengladbach. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.72 / X 3.43 / 2 2.54
1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 34.9% / X 27.7% / Borussia Monchengladbach 37.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 34.9%

X 27.7%

2 37.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%

Over 2.5 56.1%

Under 2.5 43.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 05.12.2025 19:30 UTC

Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.54 market consensus · line only

X 3.44 market consensus · line only

1 2.73 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.48 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.52 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.50 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.02 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.37 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.82 35.5%
X	3.55 28.2%
	2.56 39.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.68 37.3%	2.78 36.0%	2.82 35.5%	2.60 38.5%	2.70 37.0%	2.77 36.1%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.55 28.2%	3.54 28.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%
	2.52 39.7%	2.49 40.2%	2.64 37.9%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.52 39.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.38 42.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.37 42.2%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.34 42.7%	2.53 39.5%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.56 64.1%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.45 69.0%	1.49 67.1%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%	1.48 67.6%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.50 66.7%	1.54 64.9%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%