Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
07.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FSV Mainz 05 - FC Augsburg

Germany Futbol
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 0
Finished
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - FC Augsburg 7 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.52 / 2 3.70
  • 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 47.4% / X 27.0% / FC Augsburg 25.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 47.3%
X 27.0%
2 25.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.71 market consensus · line only
X 3.53 market consensus · line only
1 2.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.81 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.09 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.04 49.0%
Х 3.61 27.7%
П2 3.81 26.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5%
Х 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
П2 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.84 26.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
FSV Mainz 05
W W L W D
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 3:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:2 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
13.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
FC Augsburg
W W D D L
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 BavariyaBavariya
18.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:2 FrayburgFrayburg
15.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
11.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - FC Augsburg

FSV Mainz 05
2 matches total
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Augsburg: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Maynts 4:1 (20.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 20.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Maynts
4:1
FC Augsburg
20.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Maynts
3:2
FC Augsburg