Match center
Start
21.12.2025 14:30 UTC
21.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 - FC St. Pauli
0
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - FC St. Pauli 21 декабря 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.
Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.37 / 2 3.95
- 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 47.6% / X 28.3% / FC St. Pauli 24.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
47.6%
X
28.3%
2
24.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5
44.3%
Under 2.5
55.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FSV Mainz 05 - FC St. Pauli
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.96
market consensus · line only
X
3.37
market consensus · line only
1
2.00
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.82
market consensus · line only
12
1.32
market consensus · line only
1X
1.26
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.86
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.40
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.76
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.27
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.71
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.85
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.91
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Х | 3.48 28.7% |
| П2 | 4.08 24.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.99 50.3% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% |
| Х | 3.35 29.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.35 29.9% |
| П2 | 3.85 26.0% | 3.85 26.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.00 25.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.91 52.4% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.96 51.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.77 56.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.36 73.5% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.28 78.1% |
Match center
FSV Mainz 05
D
L
L
D
L
14.12 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
2:2
Bavariya
Bavariya
05.12 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
0:1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
30.11 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
0:4
Frayburg
Frayburg
21.11 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
1:1
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
09.11 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
0:1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.8
Conceded
2
Points
FC St. Pauli
W
D
L
L
L
13.12 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
2:1
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
06.12 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:1
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
29.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:3
Bavariya
Bavariya
23.11 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
09.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:2
Frayburg
Frayburg
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.6
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
1
matches total
FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC St. Pauli: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Maynts 3:0 (05.10 16:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (3:0, 05.10 16:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
05.10 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Maynts
3:0
FC St. Pauli