Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
19.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FSV Mainz 05 - RB Leipzig

Germany Futbol
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
0 : 2
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - RB Leipzig 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.09 / X 3.94 / 2 1.88
  • 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 23.7% / X 24.6% / RB Leipzig 51.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 23.7%
X 24.6%
2 51.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - RB Leipzig

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.88 market consensus · line only
X 3.94 market consensus · line only
1 4.09 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.09 24.5%
Х 3.94 25.4%
П2 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.27 78.7%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 2.01 49.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.42 41.3%
ТМ 3.5 1.62 61.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.09 32.4%
П2 1.41 70.9%
Match center
FSV Mainz 05
W L W L
05.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 3:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
20.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 3:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
15.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points
RB Leipzig
W W D D
06.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
22.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - RB Leipzig

FSV Mainz 05
0 matches total
RB Leipzig
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history