Bundesliga Germany

13.09.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

13.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 - RB Leipzig

Germany Futbol

FSV Mainz 05

0 : 1

Finished

RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - RB Leipzig 13 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.75 / 2 2.88
1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 41.5% / X 25.4% / RB Leipzig 33.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 62.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 41.5%

X 25.4%

2 33.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%

Over 2.5 62.0%

Under 2.5 38.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 13.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.88 market consensus · line only

X 3.75 market consensus · line only

1 2.30 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.57 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.40 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.75 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.50 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.50 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.50 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.30 43.5%
Х	3.75 26.7%
П2	2.88 34.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	Bet365	SStats Consensus
П1	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%
Х	3.75 26.7%	3.75 26.7%
П2	2.88 34.7%	2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Bet365
no	2.50 40.0%
yes	1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Bet365	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%

Match center

FSV Mainz 05

D L D W D

31.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg

24.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 0:1 1. FC Köln

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 2:2 Bayer Leverkusen

10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 4:1 VfL Bochum

04.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

RB Leipzig

W L L D D

30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:0 1. FC Heidenheim

22.08 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 0:6 Bavariya

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:3 VfB Stuttgart

10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 0:0 Werder Bremen

03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 3:3 Bavariya

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

2.4 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - RB Leipzig

FSV Mainz 05

1 matches total

RB Leipzig

FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

RB Leipzig: 1 (100%)

Biggest win RB Leipzig 0:2 (19.10 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 19.10 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.10 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Maynts

0:2

RB Leipzig