Match center
Start
15.09.2024 15:30 UTC
15.09.2024 15:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 - Werder Bremen
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - Werder Bremen 15 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.
Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 3.62 / 2 3.65
- 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 46.5% / X 26.9% / Werder Bremen 26.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.9%
1
46.5%
X
26.9%
2
26.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.7%
Over 2.5
54.7%
Under 2.5
45.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FSV Mainz 05 - Werder Bremen
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.65
market consensus · line only
X
3.62
market consensus · line only
1
2.09
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.81
market consensus · line only
12
1.33
market consensus · line only
1X
1.32
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.09 47.9% |
| Х | 3.62 27.6% |
| П2 | 3.65 27.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.81 55.3% |
| home_away | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 1.32 75.8% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.78 56.2% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.52 65.8% |
| П2 | 2.66 37.6% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals