Bundesliga Germany

01.11.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction

01.11.2025 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 - Werder Bremen

Germany Futbol

FSV Mainz 05

1 : 1

Finished

Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - Werder Bremen 1 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / X 3.96 / 2 4.13
1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 52.6% / X 24.2% / Werder Bremen 23.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%

1 52.6%

X 24.2%

2 23.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%

Over 2.5 63.3%

Under 2.5 36.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.11.2025 14:30 UTC

Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.14 market consensus · line only

X 3.97 market consensus · line only

1 1.82 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.03 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.25 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.61 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.08 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.87 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.57 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.58 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.85 54.1%
Х	3.98 25.1%
П2	4.21 23.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
П1	1.86 53.8%	1.86 53.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%
Х	4.00 25.0%	4.14 24.2%	3.80 26.3%	4.05 24.7%	3.98 25.1%	3.98 25.1%
П2	3.90 25.6%	4.24 23.6%	4.20 23.8%	4.15 24.1%	4.21 23.8%	4.21 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.69 37.2%	2.56 39.1%	2.50 40.0%	2.52 39.7%	2.70 37.0%	2.50 40.0%
yes	1.47 68.0%	1.46 68.5%	1.50 66.7%	1.46 68.5%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.06 48.5%	2.06 48.5%	2.06 48.5%	1.95 51.3%
home_away	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.26 79.4%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%