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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Austria
04.04.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Austria

Grazer AK - FC BW Linz

Austria Football
Stadium Merkur-Arena
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
2 : 1
Finished
FC BW Linz
FC BW Linz

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Grazer AK - FC BW Linz April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Grazer AK.

Line favourite market consensus: Grazer AK. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 3.11 / 2 3.02
  • 1X2 market: Grazer AK 39.2% / X 30.0% / FC BW Linz 30.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 39.2%
X 30.0%
2 30.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 42.3%
Under 2.5 57.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Grazer AK - FC BW Linz

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.02 market consensus · line only
X 3.11 market consensus · line only
1 2.38 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.99 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.06 32.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.25 30.8%
3.10 32.3% 2.87 34.8% 3.09 32.4% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.98 50.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.08 92.6% — 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 — — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 — — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 — — 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.5 1.42 70.4% — 1.35 74.1%
Over 1.75 — — 1.46 68.5%
Over 2.25 — 2.04 49.0% —
Over 2.5 2.25 44.4% — —
Over 3.5 4.20 23.8% — —
Over 4.5 8.50 11.8% — —
Under 0.5 7.50 13.3% — —
Under 1.5 2.80 35.7% — —
Under 2.25 — 1.84 54.4% —
Under 2.5 1.62 61.7% — —
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0% — —
Under 4.5 1.06 94.3% — —
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGrazer AK - FC BW Linz

Grazer AK
0 matches total
FC BW Linz
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history