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Bundesliga Germany

14.03.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

14.03.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Hamburger SV - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football

Hamburger SV

1 : 1

Finished

1. FC Köln

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hamburger SV - 1. FC Köln March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hamburger SV.

Line favourite market consensus: Hamburger SV. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.47 / 2 2.94
1X2 market: Hamburger SV 39.5% / X 27.7% / 1. FC Köln 32.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%

1 39.5%

X 27.8%

2 32.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%

Over 2.5 52.6%

Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.03.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Hamburger SV - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.94 market consensus · line only

X 3.48 market consensus · line only

1 2.44 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.58 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.43 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.90 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.91 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.20 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.46 40.7%
X	3.52 28.4%
	2.97 33.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	2.42 41.3%	2.49 40.2%	2.38 42.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.46 40.7%	2.46 40.7%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.56 28.1%	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%	3.52 28.4%	3.52 28.4%
	2.97 33.7%	3.00 33.3%	2.88 34.7%	2.96 33.8%	2.97 33.7%	2.97 33.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.29 43.7%	2.19 45.7%	2.10 47.6%	2.16 46.3%	2.31 43.3%	2.15 46.5%
yes	1.63 61.4%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%	1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.55 64.5%
home_away	1.34 74.6%	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.44 69.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.44 69.4%	1.46 68.5%	1.46 68.5%	1.40 71.4%

Match center

Hamburger SV

W L L D W

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 2:1 VfL Wolfsburg

04.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 0:1 Bayer Leverkusen

01.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 1:2 RB Leipzig

20.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 1:1 Maynts

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 3:2 Union Berlin

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

1. FC Köln

L L D L L

07.03 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:2 Borussia Dortmund

27.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 0:2 FC Augsburg

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 2:2 1899 Hoffenheim

14.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:3 VfB Stuttgart

08.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:2 RB Leipzig

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.2 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyHamburger SV - 1. FC Köln

Hamburger SV

1 matches total

1. FC Köln

Hamburger SV: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

1. FC Köln: 1 (100%)

Biggest win 1. FC Köln 1:4 (02.11 14:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 02.11 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

02.11 14:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

1:4

1. FC Köln