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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
08.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Football
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1 : 1
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund November 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.71 / X 3.88 / 2 1.92
  • 1X2 market: Hamburger SV 25.7% / X 24.6% / Borussia Dortmund 49.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 25.7%
X 24.6%
2 49.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5 61.1%
Under 2.5 38.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.92 market consensus · line only
X 3.88 market consensus · line only
1 3.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.28 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.91 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.57 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.48 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.78 26.5%
X 3.93 25.5%
1.96 51.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.65 27.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.96 25.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0%
X 3.95 25.3% 3.95 25.3% 4.04 24.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
1.87 53.5% 1.99 50.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.40 41.7% 2.53 39.5% 2.48 40.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.63 38.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.56 39.1%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.98 50.5%
Match center
Hamburger SV
L L L W D
02.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:4 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
05.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 4:0 MayntsMaynts
28.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Borussia Dortmund
W W L D W
31.10 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
25.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:0 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
18.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 BavariyaBavariya
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:0 MayntsMaynts
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points