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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
04.04.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Hamburger SV - FC Augsburg

Germany Football
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
1 : 1
Finished
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hamburger SV - FC Augsburg April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hamburger SV.

Line favourite market consensus: Hamburger SV. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.35 / 2 2.89
  • 1X2 market: Hamburger SV 38.8% / X 28.4% / FC Augsburg 32.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 38.9%
X 28.3%
2 32.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 52.4%
Under 2.5 47.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Hamburger SV - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.89 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 2.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.55 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.81 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.46 40.7% 2.51 39.8% 2.51 39.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.35 29.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
2.74 36.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.02 33.1% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.16 46.3%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% — 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 — — 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% — —
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% —
Over 2.75 — 2.07 48.3% —
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3% — —
Over 4.5 5.50 18.2% — —
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5% — —
Under 1.5 3.70 27.0% — —
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% —
Under 2.75 — 1.83 54.6% —
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5% — —
Under 4.5 1.14 87.7% — —
Match center
Hamburger SV
L D W L L
21.03 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 2:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
14.03 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 2:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
04.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
01.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
FC Augsburg
L L L W W
22.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:5 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
27.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:0 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHamburger SV - FC Augsburg

Hamburger SV
1 matches total
FC Augsburg
Hamburger SV: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Augsburg: 1 (100%)
Biggest win FC Augsburg 0:1 (22.11 14:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 22.11 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
0:1
FC Augsburg