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Bundesliga Germany

33 round 10.05.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction

10.05.2026 13:30 UTC 33 round

Finished

Bundesliga

Hamburger SV - SC Freiburg

Germany Football

Stadium Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV

3 : 2

Finished

SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hamburger SV - SC Freiburg May 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like SC Freiburg.

Line favourite market consensus: SC Freiburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 3.60 / 2 2.45
1X2 market: Hamburger SV 35.0% / X 26.3% / SC Freiburg 38.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%

1 35.1%

X 26.3%

2 38.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%

Over 2.5 57.3%

Under 2.5 42.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Folksparkshtadion (Gamburg, Germany), 57 274 zritelya (100% pri vmestimosti 57 000)

Referee Feliks Tsvayer (Berlin)

Start 10.05.2026 13:30 UTC

Match center

Hamburger SV - SC Freiburg

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Hamburg - Frayburg, 10 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Germany po futbolu (Bundesliga) 2025/2026, 33 round. Hamburg - Frayburg, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.37 market consensus · line only

X 7.50 Fonbet · line only

1 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

X2 1.45 market consensus · line only

12 1.28 market consensus · line only

1X 1.55 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.76 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.40 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.52 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.62 38.2%	2.82 35.5%	2.63 38.0%	2.70 37.0%	2.75 36.4%	2.70 37.0%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.70 27.0%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%
	2.45 40.8%	2.52 39.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.45 40.8%	2.42 41.3%	2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.40 41.7%	2.42 41.3%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.42 41.3%	2.50 40.0%	2.30 43.5%	2.39 41.8%	2.35 42.6%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.51 66.2%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.52 65.8%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.51 66.2%	1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.48 67.6%	1.49 67.1%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.40 71.4%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.29 77.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.53 65.4%	1.59 62.9%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.60 62.5%	1.50 66.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.04 96.2%	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25	—	1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5	1.20 83.3%	1.16 86.2%
Over 1.75	—	1.22 82.0%
Over 2.0	—	1.27 78.7%
Over 2.25	—	1.52 65.8%
Over 2.5	1.65 60.6%	1.70 58.8%
Over 3.5	2.62 38.2%	—
Over 4.5	4.75 21.1%	—
Under 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—
Under 1.5	4.33 23.1%	—
Under 2.5	2.20 45.5%	—
Under 3.5	1.48 67.6%	—
Under 4.5	1.18 84.8%	—

Match center

Hamburger SV

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

SC Freiburg

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Fernando Dikes Uilyam Mikelbrensi Travmirovannye Patrik Osterkhage Yuito Sudzuki Maksimilian Rozenfelder

Match center

Hamburger SV

W L L L D

02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 2:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

25.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 1:2 1899 Hoffenheim

18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 1:3 Werder Bremen

12.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 0:4 VfB Stuttgart

04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 1:1 FC Augsburg

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.2 Conceded

4 Points

SC Freiburg

D L W W L

03.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg

26.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 0:4 Borussia Dortmund

19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 2:1 1. FC Heidenheim

12.04 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 1:0 Maynts

04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 2:3 Bavariya

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.8 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyHamburger SV - SC Freiburg

Hamburger SV

1 matches total

SC Freiburg

Hamburger SV: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

SC Freiburg: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Frayburg 1:2 (10.01 14:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 10.01 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

10.01 14:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

1:2

Frayburg

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Hamburger SV

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 SC Freiburg

32 Games 32

8 Wins 12

10 Draws 8

14 Losses 12

36 Scored 45

51 Conceded 53

34 Points 44

88.48 Attacks 101

39.52 Dangerous attacks 45.19

0 Big chances 0

11.78 Shots on goal 12.06

4.47 Shots on target 4.31

leniya 0.09 Goly Beykeri Dzhatta Albert Grenbek 1:0 14' Igor Matanovich Lukas Kyubler 1 16' Luka Vushkovich 2:1 64' Fabio Balde Nikolay Remberg 3:1 67' Igor Matanovich Vinchentso Grifo 3:2 87' Nakazaniya Lukas Kyubler 20' Luka Vushkovich 65' Nikolas Kapaldo 86' Lukas Kheler 86'

Hamburg Frayburg 32 Games 32 8 Wins 12 10 Draws 8 14 Losses 12 36 Scored 45 51 Conceded 53 34 Points 44 88.48 Attacks 101 39.52 Dangerous attacks 45.19 0 Big chances 0 11.78 Shots on goal 12.06 4.47 Udary v stvor 4.31 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.72 Uglovye 4.22 1.81 Offsaydy 2.06 11.78 Foly 9.25 45.81 % vladeniya myachom 48.06 2.16 Warnings 1.5 0.25 Sendoffs 0.09 Goly Beykeri Dzhatta Albert Grenbek 1:0 14' Igor Matanovich Lukas Kyubler 1 16' Luka Vushkovich 2:1 64' Fabio Balde Nikolay Remberg 3:1 67' Igor Matanovich Vinchentso Grifo 3:2 87' Nakazaniya Lukas Kyubler 20' Luka Vushkovich 65' Nikolas Kapaldo 86' Lukas Kheler 86'