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Start
07.12.2025 14:30 UTC
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07.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen December 7, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hamburger SV.
Line favourite market consensus: Hamburger SV. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / X 3.45 / 2 2.95
- 1X2 market: Hamburger SV 40.3% / X 27.5% / Werder Bremen 32.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
40.4%
X
27.5%
2
32.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.95
market consensus · line only
X
3.45
market consensus · line only
1
2.36
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.61
market consensus · line only
12
1.31
market consensus · line only
1X
1.41
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.62
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.27
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.89
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.03
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.07
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.26
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.60
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.42 41.3% | |
| X | 3.53 28.3% |
| 3.02 33.1% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.34 42.7% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.37 42.2% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.45 29.0% |
| 2.94 34.0% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.05 32.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.95 33.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.24 44.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.36 42.4% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.64 61.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.63 61.4% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% |
| home_draw | 1.38 72.5% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
Match center
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Draws
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Losses
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Scored
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Conceded
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Points
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D
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29.11 14:30 UTC
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VfL Wolfsburg
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24.10 18:30 UTC
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Union Berlin
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2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyHamburger SV - Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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